All that glitters is not gold? Approaching the sub-national and spatial impact of a gold rush and policy changes

Carlos Adrián Saldarriaga Isaza, Sergio Alonso Orrego Suaza,  Marcela Ibáñez Diaz, Juan Carlos Muñoz Mora, María Natalia Cantet


Over the last 20 years, there has been a rapid expansion of gold mining in Colombia. This proposal aims to investigate the impacts of this boom on local socioeconomic and environmental conditions (deforestation). In particular, we study the impact of the change in the mining royalties regime on the regional development path. The proposed analysis is based on secondary data over 1122 Colombia municipalities using spatial econometric and qualitative techniques. Our identification strategy considers exogenous variation in gold mining potential given by geographical and environmental factors.  The use of spatial correlation allows estimating the spillover effects on neighboring units.  The research generates a novel data set that integrates panel data on the Colombian municipalities' geographical, socioeconomic, and environmental characteristics over 20 years. We contribute to the international discussion on the relationship between mining and development and provide insights into mining policy